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I started my trading journey by buying UK equities that I had read about in the business sections of newspapers. The s were a bull market, so naturally, I made money. I was fortunate enough in my early twenties to have a friend that recommended a Technical Analysis course run by a British trader who emphasized raw chart analysis without indicators. Having this first-principles approach to charts influences how I trade to this day. COM Risk Disclaimer: DailyForex will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting from reliance on the information contained within this website including market news, analysis, trading signals and Forex broker reviews.
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Nanjing bloodbath One of the sickening occasions in human historical past. Nanjing bloodbath. On the other hand, the higher time frames are less prone to such noisy price action because it takes more time for a candlestick to close. How to use a chart to identify a trend? In technical analysis a trend is identified by a series of swing highs and swing lows.
In an uptrend the price makes higher highs swing high and higher lows swing low while in a downtrend the price prints lower lows swing low and lower highs swing high. It may look easy from the chart above but not only the swing highs and swing lows can be subjective, but you can also find different trends on different timeframes.
For example, you may have an uptrend on a 5 minutes chart but a downtrend on a 1 hour chart. Generally, the higher timeframe is regarded as stronger than the lower one. So, if you have a downtrend on a 1 hour chart and an uptrend on a 5 minutes chart, technical analysts will look at signs of the uptrend on a 5 minutes chart fading before calling a resumption of the higher timeframe downtrend. Another way technical analysts identify trends on charts is via moving averages.
A moving average is a technical indicator that smooths out the price action and plots a constantly updated average price with a line. If for example you want to use a 50 period moving average, then the indicator will take the previous 50 closing prices and divide by 50 to get the average price.
The most popular moving averages are the EMA20 exponential moving average of the last 20 bars , followed by SMA Simple moving average of 20, 50, the and period moving averages. So, you can either just look at the swing highs and swing lows by eye, use the moving averages or combine both methods to better identify different trends. How to use indicators? Indicators can help technical analysts to better navigate the noise in the markets. Indicators should not be used on their own but as an extra confluence to the overall analysis.
They serve different purposes, but the ultimate goal is to better make sense of the price action. Moving averages are used to identify trends and to provide dynamic support and resistance for the price. For example, if the price is above a moving average, then it is said to be in an uptrend and generally the technical analyst will look at possible points on the chart where the price may pullback to and then bounce off of.
Oscillators are used to identify momentum and possible turning points. The RSI is measured on a scale from 0 to and a default period of 14 most recent closing prices. The RSI is also said to be in overbought or oversold territory whether it crosses the 70 or 30 levels respectively on the scale. When the MACD line crosses the Signal line to the upside it can indicate the beginning of an uptrend momentum and when it crosses the Signal line to the downside it may signal the start of a downtrend momentum.
The histogram visually displays the magnitude of the distance between the MACD line and the signal line. The histogram can signal overbought or oversold conditions when the two lines diverge too much. When the histogram rises well above the baseline at 0, the price momentum may fade a bit as it becomes overstretched and prone to a pullback and vice versa when the histogram falls too much below the 0 baseline.
MACD line blue , Signal line yellow and Histogram green and red bars Popular chart patterns A chart pattern is a recognizable configuration of price movement that is identified using a series of trendlines or support and resistance levels. Chart patterns can signal reversals or continuation of trends. There are many timeframes that can be used and there can be many patterns at any given time that can make all the process confusing.
If you see, for example, price consolidating after a bull run caused by a fundamental catalyst giving you a flag pattern, you know that that can signal a further bullish momentum once the flag gets broken. Chart patterns can help a technical analyst to identify possible future price moves. You can even find triple tops or triple bottoms that have the same psychology behind them as for double tops and bottoms.
These patterns are considered reversal patterns, meaning that the price upon successful completion of the pattern goes the opposite way reversing the previous trend. Generally, once the price breaks the neckline it confirms the pattern and it can either continue on its way or come back to the neckline for a retest and then continue again the new trend.
Sometimes the price may even hover near the neckline before making the real move. Once the price breaks the neckline it can either continue in the new direction or come back for a retest of the neckline before continuing again. Triangles signal a consolidation due to indecision or lack of fundamental drivers in the market. A symmetrical triangle can be broken on either side and it can help showing where the price wants to go.
